- Richard Branson
- Business Stripped Bare
- Business_Stripped_Bare_split_014.html
5
Innovation
A Driver for
Business
In 1986 I gave an
interview to a British music paper. The headline was 'BRANSON'S
BOMBSHELL'. I said that we were planning to put every album and
single on to a small portable computer box and that the listener
would be able to buy it and play any record they wanted, listening
through mini-headphones. I said it would revolutionise the music
industry — and people believed me. I got frantic phone calls from
some major record company bosses pleading with me not to launch
such a device. They told me it would blow away the record industry.
Then I pointed out the date. It was 1 April — April Fool's Day.
When the editor of the paper found out, he wasn't
amused.
Fifteen years later, Apple sold its
first iPod.
Already, in this book, we've talked a
lot about innovation. The best, most solid way
out of a crisis in a changing market is through experiment and
adaptation. Businesses surf the waves of changing
circumstances, and I can't offhand think of any industries whose
best players are not constantly engaged in reinvention of one sort
or another.
Making changes and improvements is a
natural part of business, and for sole traders and very small
companies, the distinction between innovation and day-to-day
delivery is barely noticeable and unimportant. It's all just
business, and creative, responsive, flexible business comes easier
to you the smaller your operation.
Larger operations command more
capital, and so, in theory at least, their range of possible
actions is greater. But complexity soon gums up the works of an
organisation as it expands. (One marvellously backhanded Chinese
curse runs: 'May you employ more than a hundred
people.')
This is the point at which
entrepreneurial functions become separated from management
functions. This makes a lot of sense – as you'll see when we look
at different forms of business leadership in the next chapter.
However, the separation of day-to-day business from the motive
energy that birthed the company does cause problems. Suddenly,
innovating is seen as something extra, something special, something
separated from the activities the company normally engages in. This
is when niggles become endemic, intractable problems; morale
declines; and the business begins to lose its way in the
marketplace.
Virgin's management style is unique,
designed to both empower employees and avoid a culture of fear. A
couple of other companies encourage new ideas even in their
day-to-day operations. These are very different companies from
Virgin, and I admire both of them immensely.
Since 1976, with design and
ease-of-use its business mantra, Apple has simply kept inventing
and improving. The sale of over 100 million iPods and three billion
downloads from iTunes is proof of their success. While other
businesses have been caught in the free fall of the record industry
revolution, Apple has been able to fire up a new generation of
listeners, not just with music but with podcasts, radio shows, TV
shows, movies . . .
Steve Jobs and his colleague Steve
Wozniak both had a passion for gadgets and began as electronic
entrepreneurs in 1970. Six years later they were listed in the
Fortune 500 rich list. In 2008, Apple
had a market capitalisation of $105 billion, ahead of Dell and just
behind Intel. The original Apple Mac, which was released in 1984,
was described by Steve as 'the fastest and most powerful computer
ever placed in the hands of a large number of people'. It was a
transformational product. Steve later stepped back from the sharp
end of the business – which promptly started to go into reverse. He
returned as its saviour.
He is seeking perfection all of the
time, and from that original mouse-driven Apple Mac, through to the
iPod and the revolutionary iPhone, he has pushed the frontiers of
technology in a creative way. And Apple's products have transformed
people's lives. On Apple's campus at Cupertino in California,
innovation is driven by a combination of perseverance at tackling
large, intractable problems and, as a Harvard
Business Review article in February 2006 described it, Steve
Jobs playing his part as the 'great intimidator'.
By all accounts, Steve is a difficult
man to work with because of his impossibly exacting standards, but
his co-workers are filled with a sense of 'messianic zeal' to gain
Steve's approval for their work. He is meticulous about the details
and zealous about protecting all the new features that give his
business that vital edge. That's leadership.
Apple is an iconic global brand that
inspires emotional attachment. Yet the logo is only very subtly
embossed on their products. Steve Jobs and his team know exactly
how to design, manufacture and then deliver high-quality products
to the market.
Steve immerses himself in the
marketing campaigns and product launches himself – he has chosen to
be both the manager and the entrepreneur, and in his case he has
been successful playing both roles. He's a rare animal. Perfecting
the fine art of delegation is normally essential when you're
running a large company. Steve is more zealous than he needs to be,
but it seems to work for him. It gives the public and investors
confidence that the admiral is at the helm – with his hand firmly
on the tiller. Steve has that rare business quality: the acute
intelligence to see what the public wants. You can tell this by the
way Pixar Animated Pictures, which he co-founded, has had a stream
of blockbusters which have earned a stack of Academy Awards,
including such successes as Toy Story,
A Bug's Life and Finding Nemo. Pixar's family films have grossed
more than $4 billion at the box office. Steve was there when it
merged with the Walt Disney Company in 2006 and he remains on
Disney's board of directors. His unrelenting genius is at the heart
of everything Apple does and, in my view, this places Steve in a
business class of his own.
While I acknowledge that Apple's
products have transformed lives – and you only have to walk along a
street to see the ubiquitous white earpieces of the iPod – I reckon
it is another 'Invented-in-America' brand that has made the most
significant difference to the shape of our connected world. I have
been asked: 'What is the greatest business invention of the last
fifty years?' That's a tough question because you need to factor in
the mobile phone, DNA testing, the personal computer and the
Internet, but I think the winner has to be Google's powerful search
engine.
Google has allowed ordinary people to
find things out much more quickly. It has led to more immediate
choice – and increased consumer power – and a freer flow of
information, knowledge and ideas. It is far more than just a search
engine – it has become an engine of change. Google's mission is 'to
organise the world's information and make it universally acceptable
and useful'. That's a noble ambition. It has allowed political,
cultural and interest groups to flourish. It has brought the
democratisation of information on to a global scale – something
that was unthinkable just ten years ago. It has also brought a
great deal of fun into our lives.
I'm honoured to be good friends with
both Larry Page and Sergey Brin, the founders of Google. I was
flattered to be asked to officiate at Larry and Lucy's wedding on
Necker. Larry and Sergey won't mind me describing them as geeks –
indeed, with them it's a badge of honour – but they both have
strong personalities. Their characters complement each other when
they are working on a project. They get on very well and never,
ever disagree with one another in front of staff, clients or
investors. In the world of business, this requires remarkable
self-discipline. If they have a disagreement, they will wait until
everyone has gone out of the room and only then will they discuss
the matter. They are bound together better than the best marriages,
and their personal chemistry is an intrinsic part of their business
success.
Today Google attracts the brightest
technical talent. I love the idea that employees are encouraged to
generate and develop new ideas, and
that technical staff spend 20 per cent of their work time doing
something they choose to do. By giving their people ownership over
their work in this way, the company and its customers have
benefited enormously. Among many other innovations, this scheme has
brought us Gmail, Adsense, Google Earth, Google Maps and Google
News, which aggregates headlines from around the world. The company
excels at IT and business architecture. It continually conducts
experiments to test its system, and then improvises and improves,
and it has a backbone of people who are acutely
analytical.
Sergey and Larry understood early on
that they are not managers. Their trade now is in finding ideas and
turning them into businesses or other enterprises. While they
conceived Google and built it, they also found a brilliant CEO in
Eric Schmidt, who runs the company on a day-to-day level. Eric was
the CEO of Novell, and he also sits on the board of Apple. He is
steeped in the technology world but he knows how to deal with
financial matters and the investment community. This is a classic
example of how the roles of entrepreneur and manager can be
separated – a theme explored further in the next chapter. At
Google, both sides of the business are given room to breathe.
Eric's day-to-day management of the company allows Sergey and Larry
to commit themselves to the search for new ideas – and to enjoy
some of their wealth!
One of our Virgin team was visiting
Google's HQ in Mountain View and told me they have an enormous
whiteboard detailing the strategy of Google. It is Google's Master
Plan and there are thousands of ideas on the board, all contributed
by the employees. One of the key tasks along with 'Hiring network
engineers' and 'Hiring hardware engineers' was 'Hire Richard
Branson'. I don't need to be hired: I'm always happy to help Sergey
and Larry.
On April Fool's Day 2008 we announced
the launch of Virgle, a partnership between Virgin and Google
looking at creating a community on Mars in the next fifteen years.
We were advertising for volunteers to travel on a one-way ticket to
Mars. It was concocted over dinner at Necker when we talked
seriously about the creation of a human colony on Mars and what it
might look like. We then pondered who we would invite. Our
announcement made headlines around the world and had dozens of blog
sites buzzing with activity. Were we joking? Of course we were
joking. Mind you, fifteen years before Apple started selling iPods,
I was joking about portable digital music players. With that in
mind, we've registered the Virgle brand – just in case . .
.
Innovation can occur when the most
elementary questions are asked and employees are given the
resources and power to achieve the answers. That's how Virgin
America did it. While the legal team fought to convince the
Department of Transportation that Virgin America was indeed a
US-owned carrier, the Virgin America design and finance teams
focused on taking care of business, and that was the business of
creating a totally different and better flying experience.
What does a great travel experience look and
feel like? How would it be different from anything else US
travellers have experienced? What would it take to knock their
socks off?
Building an entirely new way to fly
required a team of specialists who respected each other's expertise
but didn't hesitate to fight for what they believed was important,
who worked in close proximity round the clock, made decisions
swiftly, and passionately believed in their vision for the
customer. Ironically they themselves were the customers!
While understanding that the airline
was to be under US control, Virgin USA CEO Frances Farrow was
convinced that the issues the flying public truly cared about – the
actual product and experience – should be without equal in US
skies. Her first focus was to go after the best talent for customer
service and design, and where better to look than people leaving
Virgin Atlantic?
As I've said before, Virgin
employees, after they've started a shiny new Virgin company or run
a mature one with aplomb, are worth holding on to because they love
the brand they helped build and their experience and knowledge of
the brand are priceless. New companies are a great way to keep them
challenged – and to keep them within the family.
Adam Wells, a whizz-kid from Virgin
Atlantic's design team which had created the award-winning
upper-class suites, and Todd Palowski, Virgin Atlantic's customer
service specialist, were brought in as part of the original
customer and product insight team. They were quickly followed by
talent of the likes of Charles Ogilvie, a cutting-edge interactive
entertainment guy.
This small but dedicated group began
to dream big. The team didn't inherit drab legacy planes and they
weren't stuck in the status quo. They were empowered with the
Virgin brand to do things differently; there was no other way to
create a completely different experience. What
if we got rid of check-in lines? What if we turned the airplane
into a living room? How can we give control back to passengers?
What should we put in our toilets? How can airplane seating express
freedom? And how can we express that freedom from the moment
passengers reach the ticketing area?
Flying is generally a passive
experience. From the moment you enter the airport, you are told
what to do. Claim your boarding pass here. Put your luggage there.
Stand in line, take your belt off, remove all liquids The onboard
experience is no better. If you're lucky, the cabin crew flips on a
heavily edited movie that no one really wants to watch. And that's
followed by a trolley of unhealthy snacks that blocks you from the
loo.
What you don't have is freedom. The
Virgin America team believed they could find a way to give it back
to you, and they did. (Sorry, they're geniuses but even they
couldn't make check-in go away.) They designed a liberating
experience, one in which you could genuinely do what you wanted
with your flying time. You want to work on your laptop? Open it up
and go, there's plenty of room. Running out of power? Plug it in,
charge up your computer and play a game while you're at it. Want to
chat with your cousin who is a few rows back? Try seat-to-seat
chatting on the inflight entertainment screen using the QWERTY
keyboard at your armrest. Feeling peckish? Order a sandwich from
your seat, and a flight attendant will deliver it to you
when you want it. Want to listen to
music? Create a music playlist? Watch a movie ... in Mandarin
Chinese? Go for it. It's all there right in front of
you.
You will not get bored on our
flights.
So innovation has to be appropriate
for your business. It must fulfil a need, and it must give you an
edge over your competitors. Our food-ordering system was an
extension of our service philosophy, the idea that the cabin crew
wanted to give passengers control. No airline in the world but
Virgin America offers on-demand food ordering. We decided that free
airline food was a failed model. Free is not necessarily good;
customers have low expectations and the airline is pressured to
slap down the absolute bottom-quality snack. But our team asked
some questions and offered a simple solution: if you pay a little
bit, you will get what you want. Customers had passively accepted
the norm of free peanuts and then nothing at all ...
The Virgin USA brand team did some
research on Virgin's US customers and learned that they tend to be
open, ambitious, very social and up for trying new things. It says
something about you if you choose to fly with Virgin. You can think
of flying as being trapped on a plane with strangers but we think
our passengers have more in common with each other than they would
with passengers on a legacy carrier. The team liked the idea of
giving people a real opportunity for community creation, whether
it's on the entertainment system or chatting with the person next
to you or texting someone a few rows away.
We knew broadband was coming but
couldn't time it, and we needed a stopgap to invite people to chat
and interact in the cabin. So Charles put chat rooms and
seat-to-seat chatting in the inflight entertainment system, with
keyboards at every seat. It's a totally new way of stretching out
and interacting while being in a confined space. And through those
little seat-back entertainment screens, we created a social
community. It didn't hurt that our small new airline's tight-knit
cabin crew was friendly, remembered repeat passengers and helped to
make each flight feel like a party.
While the commercial team was about
to order millions of dollars' worth of planes, the brand team was
at the next desk demanding a brighter shade of white from the seat
supplier. The supplier had never had this sort of request before;
in fact, seat-back colour choices ranged from ten shades of beige
to the same of purples and greys ... but no white, and definitely
no whiter-than-iPod white.
Lighting on planes tends to be harsh
and grim, so Adam designed a mood lighting system with special
controls that was custom-developed for us, a first for aeroplanes.
Because no whiter-than-iPod white option was available, we gave the
seat-backs a unique coating, giving the lighting a sleek surface to
reflect off and washing the cabin with soothing light; it was a
deliberate visual experience to give the impression of space and
freedom.
These simple details are the stuff of
Virgin. If that's what business professors call innovation, fine.
Innovation is often what you didn't know you wanted until you got
it. Now the other airlines look outdated and neglected, so they
will have to catch up to our innovation. And so the cycle of
competition goes.
Like any Virgin company, the Virgin
America team were surrounded by, learned from, and influenced
amazing specialists. Colleagues are your best resource at Virgin
companies: open and thoughtful people to bounce crazy ideas off –
which don't seem so crazy when the person next to you shares your
vision and can help you realise it. The Virgin brand demands people
like that, people who are going to ask tough questions and demand
excellence and something different.
Could the team have worked as
effectively in a different setting, a different company? They were
indeed extraordinary but the circumstances were equally unusual.
The team weren't motivated by getting ahead – there was no
corporate ladder and they weren't inspired or intimidated by a
bureaucratic hierarchy. They were empowered and they owned the
product, and they would have to live with it once it launched.
Because the brand is known for being a leader and going against the
grain, there's a bit of pressure to innovate – not just for the
sake of innovation but truly to deliver something
better.
Virgin America also benefited from
being the underdog. The airline was a start-up minnow fighting the
legacy sharks that wanted to keep its planes grounded. This
do-or-die mission was motivating.
Innovation doesn't necessarily mean
being first or biggest, but being the best. We weren't the first
carrier to introduce low-cost fares to Americans. We aren't
interested in flying into every airport in all fifty US states. We
want to offer travellers an excellent flying experience to a small
but growing number of urban point-to-point centres. We have a model
that gives us the flexibility to navigate these turbulent times. We
want people to enjoy flying again and that's why Virgin America
continues to focus and innovate on the customer
experience.
Customers are talking about Virgin
America. They're writing in their blogs about a vacation and how it
started with a flight on Virgin America and how much fun they had
on their flight or how clever the safety video was. They're
uploading on their Flickr pages snapshots of themselves on our
planes or the inflight entertainment screen.
This tells me we're doing a pretty
good job of it so far.
The power of research and development
is great – too great just to be let out to graze on the existing
market. Governments and powerful philanthropists have understood
this for centuries, and have tried, often quite successfully, to
harness innovation to their own long-term purposes. I am becoming
more and more involved in questions of how we can best direct
capital investment to address the problems which we know are round
the corner, but which are not yet driving the day-to-day responses
of the market.
Schemes to encourage advances in a
particular field are not new, of course. The first recorded prize
created by the British government was launched in 1714, offering
financial incentives to the inventor who developed a device capable
of measuring longitude within half a degree of accuracy. This was
vital work at the time, because European seafaring nations,
including Britain, were finding themselves caught up in
increasingly violent skirmishes with each other – all because they
couldn't agree on the location of borders and treaty lines in
territories far away from their home shores.
Fifty-nine years later the prize was
won by John Harrison, a self-educated Yorkshire clockmaker. The
prize – £20,000, a vast sum for its time – made his family's
fortune.
I've always liked the idea of prizes.
Even if a prize isn't awarded because the competitors fail in their
attempts to win it, the very fact that there is a target to aim for
can drive an idea forward to early maturity. As focus points for
venture capital, technical innovation and entrepreneurial ambition,
prizes are hugely valuable. And as we've been discovering at Virgin
Galactic, our space-tourism operation, prizes like the Ansari X
Prize capture the public imagination, providing the commercial
applications of the future with a firm foundation.
Indeed, success in the world of
aviation has been built on winning trophies. In December 1912
Jacques Schneider – a French industrialist and a fanatical
balloonist – offered a trophy for a seaplane race. This was the
Schneider Trophy. To secure it – and to pick up 75,000 francs in
prize money – a pilot needed to win three races in five years. In
1919 Raymond Orteig, a New York City hotel owner, offered the
$25,000 Orteig Prize for the first non-stop transatlantic flight
between New York and Paris. It was eventually won by Charles
Lindbergh in 1927 – while the Schneider Trophy was still up for
grabs. In 1925 the UK's air ministry formed a racing team at
Felixstowe, Suffolk, and commissioned the designer Reginald
Mitchell to develop a monoplane to compete for the Trophy. The
result was the Supermarine S5, which spawned successive
improvements. The S6B broke the world speed record by flying at
407mph, a record that remained unbroken for fourteen years – while
another direct successor, the legendary Spitfire fighter plane,
probably saved Britain from invasion by Nazi Germany.
Prizes are not the only way to
encourage research and experiment. Tax breaks serve innovative
businesses well. Various schemes have been rolled out by successive
governments, with varying degrees of success. In the private
sector, the new generation of entrepreneurs emerging from Silicon
Valley and elsewhere in the world are keen to encourage new ideas
to help them achieve their philanthropic goals. Some of their
schemes are incredibly ambitious. You need to be aware of these
developments, and I hope that, as well as offering a few lessons
about innovation, this chapter will serve, in passing, as an
introduction to some exciting and fast-developing areas of
business.
*
Like so many leaders and heads of
state, from Blair to Mandela, President Mikhail Gorbachev was a
persuasive salesman. 'Richard, you are known in Russia as a very
brave adventurer, surely you would like to be a
cosmonaut?'
In the aftermath of the Soviet
Union's implosion, Gorbachev was sweeping away all the symbols of
the inefficient and discredited communist regime. In the Kremlin,
the free market was the buzz, with Margaret Thatcher its
flag-waving hero. And it was Thatcher who told her new-found
Russian friend that I was worth meeting.
So here we were now, at the Livadia
Palace, once the imperial home of Tsar Nicholas and his wife
Alexandra, in Yalta on the Black Sea. This was the Italianate
residence where Churchill, Roosevelt and Stalin met to redraw the
map of Europe at the close of the Second World War. The Russians
were very keen to persuade me to help open up this beautiful area
for tourists – and earn them much-needed hard
currency.
A few days later, I was flown by
helicopter to Star City at Baikonur in Kazakhstan for a VIP tour.
As a Westerner, it was a privilege to be allowed into this secret
world. Here were the creators of the Sputnik satellite, the Vostok,
Voskhod and Soyuz manned missions, the Salyut space station – and
of the ballistic missiles that had once threatened us. This was
where Yuri Gagarin blasted off into space in April 1961 to make
history. And now a new breed of Russians occupied this place,
negotiating with all the entrepreneurial zeal of a Palo Alto
deal-maker.
These guys offered me a
once-in-a-lifetime opportunity: to sit in a capsule on top of a
Russian rocket and be blasted into space. They were giving me the
chance to become the first ever space tourist.
Of course, there was a price
tag.
Over $30 million.
At the time Virgin had a high-level
ballooning project called Earth Wings and a Soviet cosmonaut was
coming to join our team. I was very keen to do business with the
Russians – all good grounding for the future when I planned to
start a low-cost Russian airline – but the price tag for this
junket – $30 million! – was astronomical. It felt immoral to me,
the idea of spending that much money on myself.
It's certainly far too much for one
individual to fork out for a trip into space. Yet that remains the
going rate if you want to spend your annual vacation at the
International Space Station. It seems a fortune to pay when there
are other priorities in life. It made me question the ridiculous
economics of putting people in space – and it sparked my search for
the big-business breakthrough that would make space travel a more
realistic proposition for many, many more people and be able to get
crucial science and technology into orbit at an affordable price to
really make a difference to life here on Earth.
I passed up my opportunity, but
others were more than willing to pay the price. Dennis Tito (who
actually has a scientific background working as an engineer in the
Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena) became the first civilian to
go into space in 2001. Tito was followed by Mark Shuttleworth in
2002, Greg Olsen in 2003, Anousheh Ansari in 2006 and Charles
Simonyi in 2007. All said the experience surpassed their wildest
expectations. As I write this, English-born Richard Garriott, the
son of an astronaut, is expecting to fly into orbit in late 2008.
He will be only the sixth paying customer. Half a dozen people in
space, at a total cost of nearly $200 million – that isn't very
good, is it?
Thirty million dollars isn't space
tourism. It's private exploration by rich individuals subsidising a
Russian mission. The chances of a tourist going into space are
currently one billion to one. I want to shorten those odds
drastically. I want to see if taking people into space could become
a working business proposition and also create a new technological
platform for science, satellites and other human activity in space.
There is no doubt though that tourists need to be the first
stepping stone on our journey.
Our initial task has been to
establish the likely demand for what we have in mind. In a new
field, this can be hard. What questions should we ask, and how
should we interpret the answers we get back?
Market consultancies are a mixed bag,
on the whole. You should definitely see what they have to offer,
but please, never neglect your own reading and thinking.
Consultancies, like any group of experts, are best given something
to chew on, and the more insight and detail you can provide about
your needs and questions, the more useful the advice you will get
back.
I can't deny that, in our hunt for
sound advice, our passage has been smoothed by the fact that space
has such huge commercial potential. Apart from Virgin Galactic,
there are others anxious to become involved in commercial space:
there is Jeff Bezos, who made billions selling books and other
goods in cyberspace with Amazon.com; the Las Vegas hotel magnate
Robert Bigelow, who is now developing a large inflatable
space-hotel; John Carmack, the computer-games creator behind hits
such as Doom and Quake; Elon Musk, the founder of PayPal, who has
set up SpaceX, a commercial orbital transportation
service.
Such is the demand for high-quality
research in this sector, consultancies have grown up dedicated to
encouraging and shaping its emerging markets. In 2002, a survey
performed by Zogby International for Futron, one of the leading
space consultancies, began to look seriously at the market for
space tourism. Their reports suggest that from 2011 there will be
2,000 tourist astronauts a year, and that by 2021 as the cost comes
down, there will be around 15,000 a year, by which time the
potential revenue from this business is $676 million per
annum.
Zogby arrived at these figures by
interviewing thousands of very wealthy individuals. My vision is to
make the experience of suborbital flight open to many more people.
Virgin Galactic only needs two flights per day at three different
sites to break through the Futron survey barrier and, with all
things going well, this is a highly conservative estimate. My own
prediction is that by 2019 the price of a trip into suborbital
space will drop to a level that will enable hundreds of thousands
of people to experience and enjoy a flight into space. For someone
in Europe or America it will be as simple as a decision of whether
to go on holiday to Australia or up into space. A figure of under
$100,000 is eventually achievable. But even if Futron's survey is
correct, Virgin Galactic will still be a successful
business.
Virgin is ideally placed to move into
the space industry. We have the expertise and experience of moving
millions of people around the globe, safely and securely. What the
Virgin brand will do – unlike any other in the commercial space
market – is establish in the public mind that space tourism is for
them: a service industry that's going to be a lot of fun, while
being as safe as people can make it. The brand also helps to give
the team global credibility as they build out the business to
include environmental science work in space, satellite payload
launching and astronaut training.
In March 1999, Will Whitehorn
registered Virgin Galactic as a company – and our hunt for
technology to get us into space relatively cheaply began in
earnest.
For years, however, I had been
keeping tabs on anything and everything to do with the vexed
business of getting off the ground and into space. I wanted us to
be first in this sector, in the same way that I wanted us to be
first in the biofuels market. And just as we've toyed with some
very unlikely biofuels over the years, we've witnessed the launch
of some pretty crazy prototype spacecraft!
This is the unseen part of business,
the part that nobody ever discusses because, to be fair, there's
not a lot to discuss. The secret to success in
any new sector is watchfulness, usually over a period of many
years. It's hard to spin waiting and watching into a vibrant
business lesson, but if there's one thing you take away from this
chapter, let it be this: that Virgin's sudden emergence as a leader
in cutting-edge industries was decades in the making. You need a
huge amount of sheer curiosity to make it in a new
sector.
Our search for a way into space led
us into a brave new world of exotic materials and untried designs,
bristling with spin-offs and business opportunities; a thriving
community of small companies and driven individuals, motivated by
prizes, supported by engaged and well-informed
philanthropy.
It was a strange experience. Having
considered myself a small entrepreneur all my life – all evidence,
airlines and the rest of it, to the contrary! – it was dizzying for
me to find myself looking at business through the other end of the
telescope. Yes, I was looking to set up my own business – a small
commercial space company – but at the same time, I could see that
the capital I had to hand could make a real difference in this
sector, encouraging other small businesses to develop.
I was now not merely innovating in an
existing market; I and people like me were actually helping to
create the market. This posed the old question in a whole new light
for me – how could we best make a difference?
The tipping point for commercial
space travel came during the millennium with the announcement of
the Ansari X Prize by space entrepreneur Peter Diamandis. The X
Prize set a simple challenge to contestants: carry three people
100km above the Earth's surface, twice within two weeks. Peter had
come to England to pitch the idea to me several times since 1997,
and we thought a Virgin X Prize was a good idea. However, rather
than sponsor a prize, we wanted to take the technology forward
ourselves and build a business.
We made the right decision. We were
playing to our strengths by developing our own company. That said,
I don't think we'd be sitting here preparing for the launch of our
first spaceship if it had not been for Peter's idea, his
determination, and the huge generosity of Anousheh and Amir Ansari,
who were the ones who ultimately donated the $10 million
prize.
The Ansari X Prize had twenty-nine
entrants, but only three serious contenders. Of these, just one had
managed to acquire serious funding – SpaceShipOne.
Burt Rutan's company, Scaled
Composites – based in Mojave, California – unveiled the existence
of its space programme on 18 April 2003. Burt's SpaceShipOne was to be carried into the upper
atmosphere by a mother ship – a lightweight plane called
White Knight – and launched in
flight.
On 17 December 2003, we finally got
confirmation of what had become an open secret in aviation circles
– Paul Allen, a reclusive billionaire with a passion for science
fiction, was Burt's financial backer for the SpaceShipOne project. That day, SS1 broke through the sound barrier during its
first manned test flight. On 21 June 2004, Mike Melvill flew
SS1 above 100km altitude, and this was
a significant breakthrough, dispelling the myth once and for all
that manned space flight was the sole domain of huge government
programmes.
I calculated that Paul had spent
about $26 million to achieve winning the $10 million X Prize. So I
wrote to him in January 2004 proposing a fifty-fifty joint
venture.
Dear Paul,
May I congratulate you on the latest flight. From the
footage I saw it looked magnificent. I should be delighted to work
with you on taking the project forward and helping turn it into a
serious space-tourism project. I'm hopeful that with the strength
of the Virgin brand and our team's marketing skill and your
technological skills we can not only get your investment back but
earn enough to take the project forward into even greater heights.
Our suggestions are these: 1) that initially we together spend the
necessary funds to create a three-man craft (along similar lines to
the test craft) but with large windows. We spend these funds to
make it safe but don't apply (at this stage at least) for FAA
certification. This craft should be ready to take passengers in 18
months. We put aside $100 million each over three years to achieve
this. 2) We start marketing in a major way to coincide with the
last flight before the X Prize flight. We offer 1,000 trips at
$200,000 per trip. This would result in $200,000,000 and should be
sufficient to get our total investments back plus have a fund left
over to take the project to the next stage (possibly a six-seat
craft at more affordable fares).
I suggested the name Virgin Galactic
Airways and thought we could start taking deposits in the summer. I
said: 'We have a team which I believe can manage this
well.'
While running an actual airline in
space didn't appeal to Paul, he loved the idea of developing a
six-seater commercial space plane. Will Whitehorn and Alex Tai, a
former Virgin Atlantic captain, flew to Seattle to meet Paul's
advisers. Jon Peachey, Virgin's investment director and a Galactic
board member, went with them. Peachey was the moneyman, with strict
instructions to keep Will's and Alex's enthusiasm under
control!
The first deal didn't work for Paul's
company, but we resumed discussions a little while later and this
time things progressed well. Both sides were conscious that the
Ansari X Prize was looming, and we needed to complete the deal
quickly if the new company was to get the benefit of the publicity.
Eventually Virgin negotiated with Paul Allen to buy the rights to
use his technology – just three weeks before the X Prize! It was a
terrific deal for us because the Virgin Galactic branding would now
be on SpaceShipOne during the ceremony
in the Mojave in October. This would give us worldwide exposure –
and it would deliver a message that we were now a serious
player.
The last week of September 2004 is
one I will always cherish. We launched our 125mph Pendolino tilting
service in the UK. We gained plaudits from the President of Nigeria
for the launch of Virgin Nigeria. And I was on the platform at the
Royal Aeronautical Society in London with Burt to announce the
launch of Virgin Galactic. We signed a historic $21.5 million deal
for the use of the technology with Paul Allen's company, and
announced that we had developed a $100 million investment plan to
develop a prototype commercial six-seater spaceship at Burt's
factory in Mojave.
Burt Rutan is an engineering genius,
years ahead of his time. Do you remember Voyager, a plane that looked like a flying
catamaran and flew around the world on a single tank of fuel in
1986? That was Burt's design. It was the largest all-composite
aeroplane ever built, and the father of much of Scaled Composites'
later work and of SpaceShipTwo. That
plane was woven from glass, graphite
and aramid, and bonded with epoxies and resins. Once heated in an
autoclave, the compound became immensely strong and far lighter
than pressed aluminium.
SpaceShipOne was constructed from equally exotic
materials. In fact, there was very little about its design, fabric,
execution and flight behaviour that wasn't exotic. Take the engine: a revolutionary
rocket-motor design that will be used in SpaceShipTwo, and one without which commercial
space tourism simply wouldn't be possible for us.
It was Burt's unique take on an old
idea, of course: a dual-propellant system with a liquid oxidiser
and a solid fuel. The solid fuel lines the case of the rocket. The
liquid oxidizer is injected at the head of the motor and then
ignited. The surface of the solid fuel reacts, combusts and turns
to gas. And because the propellants are separated they cannot mix
in the event of a leak. Consequently, they cannot explode. Most
serious systems failures on rockets over the years have been fatal.
Not so here: Burt's spaceships are very
failure-tolerant.
And they're cheap. Once all the
engineering and design has been done, cranking them out on a
production line is a relatively simple business. The solid fuel is
rubber. Once the igniter motor starts the rubber burning, nitrous
oxide is added under pressure, producing a flame. The gas expands
through the nozzle and provides instant thrust.
The rocket motor will give us just
enough push to tip the craft into suborbit. After this the motor
shuts down, and the spaceship coasts into space for a few minutes.
It reaches the top of its arc and then starts to fall back down
again. Just like tossing your keys in the air, once they reach the
top, they start to come down.
And another lovely thing about this
engine. It's green. Well green compared to any other form of
rocketry from the ground. Fly into space with Virgin Galactic and
we'll be releasing less CO2 than the equivalent of a person flying
from London to New York and back on an upper-class ticket. NASA's
Space Shuttle has the same environmental output as the population
of New York over the average weekend!
Mike Melvill, a long-time friend and
associate of Burt, was the pilot as SpaceShipOne, tethered to its mother ship
White Knight, took off from Mojave
Airport's Civilian Aerospace Test Center on 29 September 2004. It
was a shaky ride, which required brilliant skills from the pilot.
SS1 reached its apogee of 337,600 feet,
or 103km. This was space.
On 4 October 2004, SS1, with test pilot Brian Binnie at the controls,
was launched from its mother ship and soared into suborbit,
reaching 367,442 feet above the Earth. For Binnie, it was a flight
and a day to remember for the rest of his life. He had become an
astronaut.
For Burt Rutan, it was the
culmination of his life's work. SS1 had
won the Ansari X Prize.
At Virgin, we believed the success of
this tiny spacecraft revealed commercial possibilities, and so we
decided to license the technology of SS1 and its mother ship, White
Knight.
On 27 July 2005, at Oshkosh,
Wisconsin, Burt and I announced the signing of an agreement to form
a new business. It was agreed that the new company would own all
the designs of SS2 and the White Knight Two launch systems that were being
developed at Scaled Composites. The new business, the Spaceship
Company, would be jointly owned by Virgin and Scaled. Burt's
company would undertake all the research, development, testing and
certification of the two craft, with Burt heading up the technical
development team.
I believe Virgin's work with Paul
Allen and with Scaled Composites is a great example of capital and
inventiveness working together. From day one, we have, every one of
us, been singing from the same song sheet. Our symbiosis is nigh on
perfect. Burt's genius is being challenged and stretched and will
be well rewarded, even as our investment of capital produces a
fantastic return. I think – setting aside the huge financial risks
involved in doing anything new – the relative ease of doing
business in this sector is due partly to the environment; the
enthusiasm is tremendous. I also think it has to do with the fact
that Virgin considers everyone involved, regardless of their
capitalisation, as an entrepreneur. We're all, in our own way,
moving into unknown territory, and so we're all sharing the same
experience.
The commercial success of
White Knight Two and SS2 will open doors for our business. A single
shuttle mission can carry 23,000kg into orbit at a cost of around
$450 million. We are working towards the day when White Knight Two will be able to take 12,500kg of
payload to 50,000ft, and then blast it into low Earth orbit. This
will give it the highest drop capability in the world, and opens up
a whole array of commercial possibilities for localised weather
satellites, carbon-emission measurement and cheaper zero-gravity
training for tomorrow's astronauts. In the future, SpaceShipTwo and its successors may be able to take
payloads further out into space. While Virgin Galactic must
concentrate on its original plan, these are all options for our
business to grow its revenues and technology base.
While I want to take nothing at all
away from the importance of prizes, I'm glad that in this instance,
we chose to develop a company, rather than sponsor a cup. I think
this emerging market benefits from Virgin's spirit of branded
market capitalism. Virgin brings the public on board, it brings
serious capital into play, and it keeps the field inclined towards
small entrepreneurial ideas. We stand to make money by doing good,
and in business, things don't get much better. And believe me,
cheap access to space matters enormously if humankind is to have
any hope of solving its problems here on Earth.
Even the most
rarefied and exotic-sounding business environment works to familiar
principles. Once our systems are proven, and our first space
travellers are talking enthusiastically about their experiences, I
believe the floodgates will open. A major reduction in costs will
come when the insurance industry sees how safe space travel is
becoming. More venture capitalists will sense that there is a buck
or two to be made; their funds will, in turn, support further
expansion. We might even see some commercial space companies listed
on the New York Stock Exchange or in London.
Frankly, space – outer space – is
there for the taking. The risks of failure are high and you will
need to churn ideas at high speed to attract funding. On the other
hand, there are plenty of ideas to explore. Materials science and
biotechnology are both throwing up possibilities faster than
businesses can find applications for them, so an appetite for
learning is vital if you are to take advantage of new opportunities
in these areas. That, in turn, requires you to take a real interest
in people, and what they're up to, and how you might be able to
help. You are not going to strike gold in this sector on your
own.
Reality shows about business are
becoming much more popular. Dragons'
Den, in particular, makes excellent viewing, not least
because it focuses on the more exciting side of business – coming
up with, assessing and testing new ideas. The business panel is
comprised of successful millionaires, and while the programme makes
some token gestures towards how scary these people are, I think
it's pretty clear to everyone that they're a courteous, lively
bunch who bring a sense of adventure to their work. Some
contestants are well prepared and have worked out their pitches;
others are thrown to the Dragons, gobbled up and spat out. But it's
a wonderfully positive show: it's amazing the number of interesting
ideas and schemes that people come up with.
At a meeting in Downing Street a
while ago, I was asked by some emerging Russian business leaders if
I could help with some informal education about the practical
aspects of capitalism. I scribbled on a bit of paper: 'Russian Dragons' Den: Must Launch'. As I walked
along Downing Street after the meeting, a Times newspaper photographer about sixty to seventy
feet away snapped the bit of paper and then blew it up. This ended
up headlined 'BRANSON TO CONSIDER
LAUNCHING DRAGONS' DEN IN
RUSSIA'. I still think it's a good idea – but I'm sure the
BBC, who commission the show, are on to it.
Everywhere I go, I'm deluged with
business ideas. A few years ago I would sit with a pile of business
ideas in front of me and work my way through them. For example,
there was a charming offer from a Spanish gentleman, written in
perfect English. He told me that he would like to work with me to
create Virgin White – a washing powder. He reckoned this would be a
wonderful product and, of course, he might have been
right.
Some of the proposals we get are
brilliantly thought-out, down to the last detail, and offer us a
good share of the market. Others are simply handwritten scribbles,
often marked 'Private and Confidential', saying basically, 'Dear Mr
Branson. I have had this idea for a great product which you might
like to launch – it is Virgin Tomato Soup in a tin can. I think it
would be a very popular product. I look forward to hearing from
you.' What can you say about that? That Mr Heinz and Mr Campbell
already have perfectly good products? I never like to be rude. I've
looked back and discovered that we've had about a hundred proposals
to set up – yes – Virgin White. So you might think your idea is
original, but there are other people out there who might have been
there before you.
I never want to blunt anyone's
passion or enthusiasm but over the last thirty-five years we have
run the rule over almost every single idea you can think of. We are
bombarded with ideas: some half baked – like Virgin Beans – some
plain crusty – like Virgin Breadsticks – and, among them, some real
ringing successes – such as Virgin Mobile.
I've come to think of our search for
ideas as 'Showgirls to Stem Cells'. Indeed, we have always looked
at sex and health as being pretty fundamental parts of the Virgin
brand.
The ageing of the 'baby boomer'
generation in a number of wealthier nations means that people can
no longer expect their own national welfare systems to prop them up
in terms of pensions and healthcare. In the UK, the National Health
Service can only come under increasing strain. In the future,
there's going to be a need for supplementary and supportive health
services, which might deliver the extras and the
non-life-threatening services that would give people a better
quality of life. This isn't a political view, or even a business
pitch. It's stark reality. The NHS can no longer be expected to do
everything. There are too many of us, and it is simply unreasonable
to expect a single organisation – however visionary – to adopt
every single new procedure, however expensive, however rarefied,
and roll it out to everyone. It's just not doable.
This, anyway, is the big picture.
Virgin's supportive role is quite modest but, we hope, targeted in
a way that will support and sustain current public services. We
want to offer non-urgent complementary services that combine
physiotherapy, dentistry, optometry, diagnostic testing and scans.
Given the surge in the number of fit and active people in their
forties, fifties and sixties with a lot of disposable income who
want to travel and see the world, it seems crazy not to offer them
the opportunity to invest in their own well-being. It is an
evolutionary step for us, too – to consider the healthcare of the
first Virgin generation!
In addition, and with the awareness
that there are many regulatory issues and ethical ones to look
into, we are exploring the highly contentious field of stem cell
research. Stem cells could open up breakthroughs in treatment in
years to come. As I jotted in my notebook: 'Stem cells are the essence of life. They have potential to
develop into any other cells. Given the right conditions they can
create not just a heart – a heart for you.'
We've researched the harvesting of
stem cells from the blood stem cells of human umbilical cords.
We've set up a Virgin cell bank storing stem cells for forthcoming
generations, and we've invested in a genetic testing service which
might be able to predict certain conditions and diseases. I've
spoken to several scientists at the cutting edge of this field,
including the head of a company called ViaCell, a clinical-stage
biotechnology company whose raft of experimental cellular medicines
might one day beat cancer, neurological diseases, diabetes and
muscular dystrophy. My view is that difficult ethical questions are
there to be answered – again and again, if necessary, as the years
go by and morals and fashions change – and that anything that can
save lives in the future is certainly worth studying.
Virgin – like all the best
entrepreneurial businesses – is really looking for something fresh.
If you think we're going to make millions together launching a
washing powder, tomato soup or even three-legged women's tights
(yes, we've had that: you tuck the spare leg into your underwear
and use it if you ladder one of the other legs) then perhaps you
need a different entrepreneur.
The other thing you'll need – in
spades – is luck. The business-school gurus tend to underplay this
commodity, presumably because the power of chance undermines every
other business rule they teach you. But trust me on this:
luck is essential. There aren't many
chief executives who admit to simply being in the right place at
the right time. Yet the business world is littered with the broken
careers of those who were in the right place at the wrong time and screwed up. Certainly Virgin Mobile
– the fastest growing company in history to reach a billion-dollar
turnover – was propelled by a huge slice of good
fortune.
But then, chance favours the prepared
mind. Gary Player, the South African golfing master, used to say
that the more he practised, the luckier he became. Yes, the rub of
the green (or should that be the red?) played a significant part in
Virgin Mobile's success. But never forget we doggedly stuck with
our interest in mobile phones, and were constantly searching for
the gap in the market. When a gaping canyon revealed itself, we
were ready.
Right now, the world could do with
some luck. Climate change will be a serious business challenge for
our lifetimes and well beyond. Companies are already starting to
make major changes, but things aren't progressing nearly fast
enough. We need advanced control technologies and clean energy
alternatives to start delivering much sooner than we ever
anticipated – and we haven't even developed a fraction of what we
need: ultra-efficient water heaters, improved refrigeration and
freezers, advanced building materials, heating, ventilation,
insulation, cooling, rainwater harvesting . . .
Some terrific products have already
emerged. Smart windows that adapt and maintain comfortable
temperatures. Super-efficient LED lighting. Energy-saving
improvements in building design. Sensor technology to help us use
scarce resources more wisely. Even a new breed of super-smart
robots. (Bill Gates tells me this technology is as exciting as the
nascent personal-computer industry was in the mid-1970s.) According
to a Scientific American report in
2008, by 2055 a $1,000 personal computer will have as much
processing power as all human brain power combined. By then we
could probably do with the help.
Then there are next-generation hybrid
cars (the latest being encouraged by Peter Diamandis, the founder
of the X Prize and now the Automotive X Prize) that emit less
pollution. There are colonies of wind farms, on- and offshore, sea
barrages and solar panels. There are technologies emerging to
capture carbon from power stations. Parabolic mirrors, deployed in
Africa's deserts, provide green electricity. There are huge
investment programmes looking at biofuels such as cellulosic-based
butanol that don't eat away at our vital food supplies. And many of
these excellent schemes have been evaluated by Virgin's Investment
Advisory Committee.
In business, as in life, you can't
afford to be afraid of doing the wrong thing. This book is littered
with accounts of my and my colleagues' successes and mistakes.
Virgin Fuel's first biofuel investment was in manufacturing plants
that make ethanol from corn. Given what's happening to world food
investment at the moment, we can all agree that that was going to
be a non-starter! But as we saw, from that not-so-good idea, good
ideas have grown. Remember: success in business never comes from
inaction. Have I been lucky in business? You bet. But most people,
most of the time, have the same amount of luck. It's what you do
with it that counts.
Innovation is
what you get when you capitalise on luck, when you get up from
behind your desk and go and see where ideas and people lead
you.
'It's idyllic here – would you mind
passing me the sunblock?' I asked my wife, as we both lay sprawled
out on our sunloungers. Joan and I were having a romantic
anniversary break in the Maldives, and the Indian Ocean was a
shimmering mirror of turquoise. It was wonderfully warm, with a
gentle sea breeze, and the only sound was the lapping of the waves
on the pure white lagoon sand.
'There you go. You'll smell gorgeous
with this one on,' she laughed as she handed me the
bottle.
It was a factor 30 organic
coconut-based lotion and my arms, legs and tummy glistened after I
applied it. Joan was right, I had acquired the aroma of a molten
king-size Bounty bar.
My novel wasn't very exciting – so I
replaced my sunglasses to read the ingredients on the bottle
instead. I'm always on the lookout for ideas and almost anything
can kick-start your thinking. I began contemplating the irony of
our globe. Here was one of the most beautiful places in the world –
and over 80 per cent of it is less that one metre above mean sea
level. Global warming and rising sea levels meant catastrophe for
this piece of heaven on Earth. Was there a solution? Perhaps part
of the answer lay in the bottle I was holding . . .
Rising population combined with
climate change are the main challenges facing our world – and
aviation contributes about 2 per cent to industrial global warming
(agriculture is the main culprit). On 21 September 2006, I stood
next to the former US president Bill Clinton, and pledged to commit
all the profits the Virgin Group made from our transport business
over the next ten years to combating global warming. At the Clinton
Global Initiative in New York, I said: 'Our generation has
inherited an incredibly beautiful world from our parents and they
from their parents. We must not be the generation responsible for
irreversibly damaging the environment.'
On CNBC's Power
Lunch programme, I repeated my pledge. 'Obviously we are in
the transportation business and we do our fair share of spewing out
CO2 . . . We are pledging that any
money that comes back to the group in the form of dividends, share
sales or flotation, that 100 per cent will be invested in tackling
global warming. We expect over the next ten years to put aside
around three billion dollars.'
My notebooks for the weeks following
my announcement are spiderwebbed with figures and arrows and
exclamation marks as I tried to understand the economics of the
fuel debate.
Less than a week later, on 27
September, Virgin Atlantic unveiled an initiative to reduce carbon
emissions from aviation by up to 25 per cent. Our airlines use
around 700 million gallons of fuel a year. I wanted to cut back on
this consumption and floated a few ideas. At the time, I knew these
were ambitious targets. What if our planes were towed to the runway
before the engines were started? We proposed starting grids for
planes at airports, and a method of landing planes called the
'continuous descent' approach, which meant a saving in fuels. We
also pointed the finger at Europe's air traffic control system,
which is punishing the environment by keeping planes on holding
patterns in the sky. (There are thirty-five separate
traffic-control organisations in Europe; there's a single one for
the whole of the US!) Virgin Atlantic was working to pull together
the airlines to make commercial flying more environmentally
friendly, and by 2008, many of the world's airlines – now faced
with growing criticism over their contribution to global warming –
had begun to adopt these procedures to save vital aviation
fuel.
Of course, we could all stop flying
tomorrow. But that's not only an unrealistic idea, it's politically
and economically disastrous for millions of the world's poor. If
you stop people going to Africa, say, you will only increase the
hardship of the people there. Many African nations have been
building up worthwhile and profitable tourism ventures. You only
need to look at Kenya in 2007, and how tourism dried up after the
disputed presidential election results and the massive loss of jobs
that followed, to recognise the industry's importance, and the
destabilising effect the loss of tourism can have on a
nation.
The global economy now depends on
aviation and tourism, two of the world's most important industries.
They have grown exponentially over the last forty years and have
kick-started the economies of many developing nations. I can't see
how we're going to stop this and return to the Stone Age. People
love to travel. It broadens the mind and increases international
cooperation and understanding. Ironically, eco-tourism is often the
best way to protect sensitive environments such as
rainforests.
Slowly the aviation industry is
waking up to a harsh reality: the status quo is no longer
sustainable. The airframe-makers – and indeed the engine-makers –
must keep searching for quieter and cleaner engines. The other
issue for all airlines remains the sustained high price of oil –
indeed all of our Virgin airlines have felt the pinch as fuel costs
have risen. Virgin's fuel bill went up by several hundred million
dollars between 2004 and 2006. Cutting back our consumption of
fossil fuels isn't a lasting solution, however. At best, it merely
postpones the coming crisis.
What is the solution?
The key to saving our environment is
to create a new breed of cleaner energy sources and fuels that do
not damage the atmosphere, do not lead to deforestation, and do not
eat up vital food stocks that the world's growing population will
need to eat. The recent backlash against biofuels has lumped all
kinds of energy and fuel initiatives together, without considering
the individual arguments. But not all drugs are bad – compare
aspirin with heroin – and the same argument applies to renewables
generally. While I know they probably won't provide the overall
answer, I believe we have so far not even begun to find out what
biofuels might be able to deliver.
Burn any organic matter – and that
includes coal and oil – and you release carbon dioxide –
CO2 – into the atmosphere. Coal and
oil are what happens to vegetation when it's compressed in the
earth over millions of years. If we used living vegetation – sugar
cane, willow trees, peanuts, corn, coconuts – instead of these
'fossil fuels', then we wouldn't be loading the carbon of previous
ages on top of the carbon already in our environment. There's a
phrase I like which sums up this view: 'Don't dig up the
dead.'
Synthetic fuels have been around
since the 1910s, when fuel alcohols first went into mass commercial
production. Before Prohibition in the US, cars were run on the
stuff – but since ethanol is a type of alcohol, the practice was
eventually outlawed for fear that people would drink
it.
Vinod Khosla, the man who founded Sun
Microsystems and one of the most influential investors in
California – indeed, the United States – believes that ethanol is
likely to be the future fuel of cars, and a far more practical
option than hard-to-handle hydrogen. However, ethanol – which would
otherwise be a suitable alternative for traditional aviation fuel –
freezes in temperatures above 15,000 feet.
For nearly a century, the
unsuitability of ethanol seems to have put the dampers on research
into alternative aviation fuels. When I first started to look into
this area, I was astonished at the lack of progress or interest in
this field. Had no one seriously thought of putting biofuel into a
plane?
Apparently not: when I first
mentioned in 2006 that we were looking for a jet engine fuel that
was clean, we were laughed at and mocked by environmentalists and
engine manufacturers alike. People said it was absolutely
impossible. It's worth remembering that as recently as the 1950s,
some airline people – including the American aviator Charles
Lindbergh, then working for PanAm – didn't think the jet engine had
a future in commercial aviation. Step changes, driven by business
imperatives, do happen – but they need a catalyst.
Our first port of call was
Rolls-Royce, the world's leading jet-engine makers, based in Derby.
We tried to get them interested in biofuel development, but they
were pursuing a different path, improving the efficiency of their
engines. More than that, they told us that the fuel we wanted to
develop was 'impossible'. So we went to GE Aviation, one of their
rivals, and makers of jet engines for Boeing and Airbus airplanes.
They did want to help us. And with them on board, we got Boeing
Commercial Airplanes interested too. At last, the key players were
engaging in the hunt for clean fuels.
Many of my notes from around this
time are highly technical, as I tried to wrap my head around
molecular structures, enzyme activity, the chemical formation of
algae . . . The really dizzying part, though, was trying to get to
grips with the sheer scale of the fuel economy. Our transport needs
for the next two decades are still likely to be met by liquid fuels
to drive the internal combustion engines in our cars, boats and
generators. For any alternative liquid fuels to be a viable option,
we need massive amounts of feedstock – the raw material to make the
energy – and it has to be cheaper than – or at least comparable to
– traditional fuels.
Our studies found that cellulosic
biomass meets both these requirements, as does waste from
agriculture, municipal sewage and animals. This is where new
businesses must emerge, and investors such as the Virgin Green Fund
and Vinod Khosla are spending billions of dollars on this bet. It
is not simply the feedstock but its collection, transportation and
processing which needs to be tackled so that the end product is
competitive with gasoline. This brings lots of opportunity – and
many blind alleys. I'm going to take you down a few unlikely
avenues now to give you an idea of the scale and complexity of the
biofuel sector, its sheer pace and the effort that's being
invested.
Inefficient corn ethanol started the
ball rolling in the United States, aided by massive government
subsidy, while the Brazilian experience has long since proven the
viability of sugar cane. Brazil has over thirty-five years'
experience of using it as a fuel, and in 2008, its cars consumed
more ethanol than fossil fuels. The primary feedstocks for the
production of renewable fuel are sugar from sugarcane, and starch
from corn, the source of most US-based ethanol. Corn ethanol has
become a major concern because of its impact on food production. In
Asia, tapioca, potatoes and other starches can also be used. But I
cannot now see the benefit in growing food and using it for energy
when people around the world are starving and basic food prices are
rising elsewhere.
So I became interested in the
discussion regarding the tonnage per acre of plants with no food
value. Prairie grass, willows, corn stalks and wheat straw all can
be used to manufacture cellulosic ethanol. I spoke to John Ranieri,
vice president of biofuels at the chemical giant Dupont. I was
interested in how the big players were tackling this. John's a very
sound guy, and he gave me some excellent advice and information. He
told me about Dupont's strategy to bring biobutanol and cellulosic
ethanol technologies to market. This led to discussion with Ian
Ferguson at Tate & Lyle, the sugar giant. We began to think
that the Dominican Republic might be a suitable place for a sugar
refinery and then considered a prairie-grass plant in Louisiana.
Our research also led the Virgin Green Fund to make an investment
in Gevo, a world-class biofuels company that converts biomass into
butanol. It was important to invest in the development of many
clean energy solutions, not just one.
We talked to Iogen, which was already
turning some of the Canadian prairie's vast cellulosic waste into
ethanol and had a 40-million-gallon plant making E10 biofuel for
cars. We spoke to Cargill, one of the world's largest food and
agricultural companies. We went to Brazil to look for joint venture
partners.
We even played with
coconuts.
Now, coconuts will never solve a
global energy crisis. But they have a few things going for them.
For a start, they thrive on sandy beach areas in the tropics, where
other plants don't grow well. The market for copra – coconut flesh
– has been falling worldwide, and so has the price, leading to
declining incomes in regions heavily dependent on copra production,
so it would be great to find another use for this important crop.
The low return for the harsh work involved with the cutting and
drying of copra has pushed many rural farmers into other cash
crops, leaving unharvested coconuts lying on the beaches. It may be
that the harvesting of coconuts on a large scale can bring much
needed income to these areas.
Coconut oil in engines is not new. It
was used in the Philippines during the Second World War when diesel
was in short supply. Today, on the islands of Vanuatu in the
Pacific Ocean, an Australian entrepreneur, Tony Deamer, has
succeeded in using coconut oil in fuel for motor vehicles.
Potentially, this enterprise could help to revitalise the market
for copra and have wide-ranging environmental benefits as well.
Tony, together with a local coconut-oil producer, has been
negotiating with the government for a reduction of duty on coconut
oil-based mixtures. In Vanuatu, the local electricity company
UNELCO has been using diesel blended with coconut oil to run a
large (and now pleasantly perfumed) four-megawatt
generator.
I did some basic sums and quickly
confirmed what we all suspected, that the sheer labour of breaking
into the things and scooping out the flesh made coconuts an
unlikely player on the world biofuel scene. Coconut oil was,
however, an excellent local solution.
In general, I think that the debate
about biofuels gets too easily hung-up on this or that single
'solution', its merits and demerits. We don't have to find a single
biofuel that will do everything for everyone. What we can and
should develop is a suite of solutions that work well in different
places, for different purposes, and at different scales. It should,
for example, be possible to cut dramatically the human carbon
footprint by introducing bio-ethanol for cars and buses. Flying
will require a major breakthrough, however.
That's why it was important to us
that we prove, in principle, that we could fly a commercial
airliner on biofuels. To demonstrate this principle, it didn't
strictly matter what biofuel we used, or whether or not it could be
scaled up. It just had to keep a Boeing in the sky. On Sunday 24
February 2008, we flew Cosmic Girl, a
Virgin Atlantic Boeing 747–700, on a test flight from London to
Amsterdam. A 747 has four engines, and in one of the engines, for
the first time, we used, not fossil fuel, but a mixture of coconut
oil and oil from a related fruit, the Brazilian babassu nut. No
modifications were made to either the aircraft or its engines to
enable the flight to take place.
The demonstration flight, piloted by
Captain Geoff Andreasen, Virgin Atlantic's chief Boeing pilot, took
off from Heathrow at 11.30 a.m. and arrived in Amsterdam at 13.30
local time. It was a quiet, intense affair: during the flight,
technical advisers on board monitored readings and recording data
for analysis. The flight was a success: we had shown that it was
possible to fly a plane at 35,000 feet on cleaner fuels. Now the
challenge was to develop a biofuel that would scale up, and that
wouldn't eat into the food supply.
That work continues. Imperium
Renewables, who manufactured our experimental fuel, have since
opened one of the world's largest biodiesel refineries at Grays
Harbor, Washington State, in the United States. It's capable of
producing up to 100 million gallons of biofuel per year. The
company has formed a subsidiary in Hawaii to develop another
biodiesel production facility, which will likewise provide 100
million gallons of biodiesel fuel a year, using locally produced
feedstock, including coconuts.
Meanwhile John Plaza, president and
CEO of Imperium, is overseeing the development of a 'second
generation' bio-jet fuel, harvesting algae which can be grown in
fresh or sea water. I think that, for us, this approach promises a
great deal.
Some people have asked why don't I
give straight to charity the profits I have pledged to clean
technologies and renewable energy. But that won't do the trick.
There is a time for giving in a charitable way, but where there are
business opportunities to be had, one is much better off harnessing
the might of the commercial sector to one's cause. Given our
rapidly rising population and the consequent environmental
pressure, our solutions have to be technological as well as social.
I'm not saying: let the market dictate everything, and all will be
well. Quite the opposite – I'm saying: let's use our position in
the market for the greater good and prove there is money in greener
technologies. That's what Virgin Green Fund is trying to
do.
Business has a duty to continue to
push the boundaries. In the next ten years, we'll all head into
unknown territory. There will be a vast increase in our demand for
energy – yet I believe we may well have passed the point of 'peak
oil', and that it is now starting to run short relative to demand.
Carbon fuel prices look set to remain high, and alternative fuels
are urgently needed. It is not beyond the wit of man or woman to
come up with an answer. And if we go into this for the right
reasons, in a concerted way to tackle climate change, we will, on
the way, definitely create some very exciting and successful new
businesses and technologies for the future.
Most of them will be small
businesses. If the complex and often overheated debates about
climate change have taught us anything over the years, they've
taught us that local solutions and small initiatives punch well
above their weight, while broad-brush initiatives get horribly
bogged down in their own complexity, and very often have unintended
and sometimes damaging consequences. I say this as a global
businessman, working at a global scale on global
problems.
Big initiatives – like Virgin Fuel's
project to develop a clean aviation fuel – depend on small
initiatives – like the coconut-oil-powered cars on Vanuatu – for
their development. No one is going to solve global warming by
edict, and at Virgin, we never forget that, in business, small is
beautiful.